Hugo GastonvsColton Smith
Every tracked price on Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| matchbook | Colton Smith | 2.02 | +1.0% |
| novig | Hugo Gaston | 2.00 | +0.0% |
| novig | Colton Smith | 1.98 | -1.0% |
| robinhood | Colton Smith | 1.96 | -1.9% |
| campobet | Colton Smith | 1.95 | -2.4% |
| campobet | Hugo Gaston | 1.95 | -2.4% |
| betfair-ex | Colton Smith | 1.95 | -2.4% |
| Betfair Exchange (Australia) | Colton Smith | 1.95 | -2.4% |
| sportzino | Hugo Gaston | 1.94 | -2.8% |
| marcaapuestas | Colton Smith | 1.93 | -3.7% |
| draftkings | Hugo Gaston | 1.93 | -3.7% |
| kalshi | Colton Smith | 1.93 | -3.7% |
| Dabble (Australia) | Hugo Gaston | 1.92 | -4.1% |
| polymarket | Colton Smith | 1.92 | -4.1% |
| superbet | Colton Smith | 1.92 | -4.1% |
| STN Sports | Colton Smith | 1.92 | -4.1% |
| coolbet | Colton Smith | 1.92 | -4.1% |
| underdog-predictions | Colton Smith | 1.92 | -4.1% |
| PointsBet (Ontario) | Colton Smith | 1.91 | -4.5% |
| jackpot-bet | Hugo Gaston | 1.91 | -4.5% |
| Mise-o-jeu | Colton Smith | 1.91 | -4.5% |
| Mise-o-jeu | Hugo Gaston | 1.91 | -4.5% |
| Bodog | Colton Smith | 1.91 | -4.5% |
| bovada | Colton Smith | 1.91 | -4.5% |
| Betfred | Colton Smith | 1.91 | -4.5% |
| Betfred | Hugo Gaston | 1.91 | -4.5% |
| betnacional | Colton Smith | 1.90 | -5.0% |
| betnacional | Hugo Gaston | 1.90 | -5.0% |
| PointsBet (Australia) | Colton Smith | 1.90 | -5.0% |
| heritage | Colton Smith | 1.90 | -5.0% |
| betway | Colton Smith | 1.90 | -5.0% |
| betway | Hugo Gaston | 1.90 | -5.0% |
| winpot | Hugo Gaston | 1.89 | -5.4% |
| ninja-casino | Hugo Gaston | 1.89 | -5.4% |
| lottoland | Hugo Gaston | 1.89 | -5.4% |
| Unibet (United Kingdom) | Colton Smith | 1.89 | -5.4% |
| Unibet (United Kingdom) | Hugo Gaston | 1.89 | -5.4% |
| coolbet | Hugo Gaston | 1.89 | -5.4% |
| draftkings | Colton Smith | 1.89 | -5.4% |
| playnow | Colton Smith | 1.89 | -5.4% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Hugo Gaston 2.00 · Colton Smith 2.00. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81
Omen Score
Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportingbet | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportsinteraction | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Superbet | 3.05 | +5.5% |
| SX.bet | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Matchbook | 3.01 | +4.1% |
| Betway | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Casumo | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Proline | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| betJACK | 3.00 | +3.7% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live reference — prices refresh with this page (10-minute cache) and can change at the bookmaker. Not betting advice. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).