Roman SafiullinvsCarlos Alcaraz
Every tracked price on Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| betfair-ex | Roman Safiullin | 5.94 | -1.5% |
| Betfair Exchange (Australia) | Roman Safiullin | 5.94 | -1.5% |
| novig | Roman Safiullin | 5.88 | -2.5% |
| prophet-x | Roman Safiullin | 5.80 | -3.8% |
| Mise-o-jeu | Roman Safiullin | 5.75 | -4.7% |
| draftkings | Roman Safiullin | 5.73 | -5.0% |
| coolbet | Roman Safiullin | 5.70 | -5.5% |
| fanduel | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.19 | -6.5% |
| NorthStar Bets | Roman Safiullin | 5.60 | -7.2% |
| Proline | Roman Safiullin | 5.60 | -7.2% |
| leovegas | Roman Safiullin | 5.60 | -7.2% |
| betparx | Roman Safiullin | 5.60 | -7.2% |
| leyusports | Roman Safiullin | 5.60 | -7.2% |
| tabtouch | Roman Safiullin | 5.60 | -7.2% |
| Unibet (Australia) | Roman Safiullin | 5.60 | -7.2% |
| betnation | Roman Safiullin | 5.60 | -7.2% |
| casumo | Roman Safiullin | 5.60 | -7.2% |
| unibet | Roman Safiullin | 5.60 | -7.2% |
| Play Eagle | Roman Safiullin | 5.60 | -7.2% |
| campobet | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.18 | -7.3% |
| betfair-ex | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.18 | -7.4% |
| Betfair Exchange (Australia) | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.18 | -7.4% |
| kalshi | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.18 | -7.7% |
| jackpot-bet | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.18 | -7.8% |
| robinhood | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.18 | -7.8% |
| prophet-x | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.18 | -7.9% |
| robinhood | Roman Safiullin | 5.55 | -8.0% |
| kalshi | Roman Safiullin | 5.54 | -8.2% |
| coolbet | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.17 | -8.3% |
| lottoland | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.17 | -8.5% |
| winpot | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.17 | -8.5% |
| ninja-casino | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.17 | -8.5% |
| sportzino | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.17 | -8.5% |
| Hard Rock | Roman Safiullin | 5.50 | -8.8% |
| betano | Roman Safiullin | 5.50 | -8.8% |
| 888sport | Roman Safiullin | 5.50 | -8.8% |
| ladbrokes | Roman Safiullin | 5.50 | -8.8% |
| Coral | Roman Safiullin | 5.50 | -8.8% |
| bovada | Roman Safiullin | 5.50 | -8.8% |
| Bodog | Roman Safiullin | 5.50 | -8.8% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Roman Safiullin 6.03 · Carlos Alcaraz 1.28. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81
Omen Score
Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportingbet | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportsinteraction | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Superbet | 3.05 | +5.5% |
| SX.bet | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Matchbook | 3.01 | +4.1% |
| Betway | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Casumo | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Proline | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| betJACK | 3.00 | +3.7% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
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