Odds format

Odds by league · ITF Men · Tennis · Fri Aug 21 · 08:00 UTC

Sebastian SorgervsLuca Castagnola

Every tracked price on Sebastian Sorger vs Luca Castagnola, against the same margin-free fair line.

BookmakerSideOddsVs fair
Polymarket (USA)Sebastian Sorger1.14-5.2%
KalshiSebastian Sorger1.13-6.4%
BetanoSebastian Sorger1.11-7.8%
Hard RockSebastian Sorger1.10-8.6%
1XBetSebastian Sorger1.10-8.6%
UnibetSebastian Sorger1.10-8.6%
888sportSebastian Sorger1.10-8.6%
SugarHouseSebastian Sorger1.10-8.6%
BetRiversSebastian Sorger1.10-8.6%
TwinSpiresSebastian Sorger1.10-8.6%
Four WindsSebastian Sorger1.10-8.6%
RushBetSebastian Sorger1.10-8.6%
Desert DiamondSebastian Sorger1.10-8.6%
SportzinoSebastian Sorger1.10-8.6%
CoralSebastian Sorger1.10-8.6%
LadbrokesSebastian Sorger1.10-8.6%
Sports InteractionSebastian Sorger1.09-9.3%
SportingbetSebastian Sorger1.09-9.3%
bwinSebastian Sorger1.09-9.3%
BC.GAMESebastian Sorger1.09-9.4%
BetplaySebastian Sorger1.09-9.4%
RivalrySebastian Sorger1.09-9.4%
betwhaleSebastian Sorger1.09-9.4%
DraftKingsSebastian Sorger1.08-10.0%
SuperbetSebastian Sorger1.08-10.2%
1XBetLuca Castagnola6.50-28.1%
DraftKingsLuca Castagnola6.50-28.1%
888sportLuca Castagnola6.00-33.7%
CoralLuca Castagnola6.00-33.7%
LadbrokesLuca Castagnola6.00-33.7%
SuperbetLuca Castagnola5.85-35.3%
UnibetLuca Castagnola5.80-35.9%
SugarHouseLuca Castagnola5.80-35.9%
BetRiversLuca Castagnola5.80-35.9%
TwinSpiresLuca Castagnola5.80-35.9%
Four WindsLuca Castagnola5.80-35.9%
RushBetLuca Castagnola5.80-35.9%
Desert DiamondLuca Castagnola5.80-35.9%
Hard RockLuca Castagnola5.75-36.4%
Sports InteractionLuca Castagnola5.75-36.4%

No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Sebastian Sorger 1.20 · Luca Castagnola 9.05. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.

Player pages: Sebastian Sorger — matches & odds · Luca Castagnola — matches & odds

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova · WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova @ 3.10
81 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
bwin3.10+7.2%
sportingbet3.10+7.2%
sportsinteraction3.10+7.2%
Superbet3.05+5.5%
SX.bet3.03+4.8%
Tailgate Exchange3.03+4.8%
Matchbook3.01+4.1%
Betway3.00+3.7%
Casumo3.00+3.7%
Unibet3.00+3.7%
Proline3.00+3.7%
betJACK3.00+3.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Sebastian Sorger vs Luca Castagnola is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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