Indianapolis ColtsvsAtlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons beat Indianapolis Colts 34–6 as a 2.77 underdog, against a fair price of 36.1%.
Result
Atlanta Falcons won 34–6.
| Player / team | Score |
|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts | 6 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 34 |
How the odds moved
The fair price drifted on Atlanta Falcons from 41.2% to 36.1% before the start — a 5.1-point move away from the eventual winner. The market moved the wrong way.
Closing odds by bookmaker
Across 137 bookmakers the closing price on Atlanta Falcons ran from 2.36 at Sportzino to 2.74 at 4cx. On a $100 stake that spread was worth $38.00 — the same bet, the same result, a different payout for anyone who shopped. See 2.74 in american or fractional odds.
Exchanges and prediction markets
These venues also priced Atlanta Falcons. They are kept out of the bookmaker comparison above on purpose — an exchange price is net of commission and a prediction contract is quoted before that venue's own fees, so the three are not one column. Read each on its own basis.
| Venue | Type | Closing price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| SX.bet | Exchange | 2.75 | net of commission |
| prophet-x | Exchange | 2.72 | net of commission |
| Novig | Exchange | 2.70 | net of commission |
| novig | Exchange | 2.70 | net of commission |
| robinhood | Prediction market | 2.70 | before this venue's own fees |
| Polymarket | Prediction market | 2.69 | before this venue's own fees |
| Prophet X | Exchange | 2.69 | net of commission |
| Polymarket (USA) | Prediction market | 2.68 | before this venue's own fees |
| SX Bet | Exchange | 2.68 | net of commission |
| polymarket | Prediction market | 2.68 | before this venue's own fees |
| kalshi | Prediction market | 2.66 | before this venue's own fees |
| Robinhood | Prediction market | 2.63 | before this venue's own fees |
| Betfair Exchange (Australia) | Exchange | 2.60 | net of commission |
| Kalshi | Prediction market | 2.58 | before this venue's own fees |
| overtimemarkets | Exchange | 2.56 | net of commission |
| Overtime | Exchange | 2.48 | net of commission |
| BetDEX | Exchange | 2.46 | net of commission |
| Tailgate Exchange | Exchange | 2.04 | net of commission |
Was it an upset?
Yes. The market's closing fair price gave Atlanta Falcons a 36.1% chance — a fair price of 2.77. Indianapolis Colts was the clear favourite and lost.
What our signal said
We flagged 2 prices on this match before it started. 2 of 2 landed, +2.75 units on the match. Losers are listed with the winners — a track record you can only check if it shows both.
| Market | Book | Price | Omen | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| asian_handicap away -3.5 | isn | 2.04 | 81 | +5.3% | win |
| moneyline away | STN Sports | 2.71 | 57 | +3.8% | win |
Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons: frequently asked
Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons?
Atlanta Falcons won, 34–6, on 22 August 2026.
What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons?
Indianapolis Colts 6, Atlanta Falcons 34.
What were the best closing odds on Atlanta Falcons?
2.74 at 4cx. The shortest price in the same market was 2.36 at Sportzino, so shopping was worth $38.00 per $100 staked.
Was Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons an upset?
Yes. Atlanta Falcons closed at a fair price of 2.77 — about a 36% chance — and won.
Did the odds move before Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons?
Yes. The no-vig fair price on Atlanta Falcons moved from 41.2% to 36.1% before the start, a 5.1-point move away from the winner.
The winning price, in context
4cx held the best closing price on this match, and its overall margin tightened from 3.46% to 2.42% (-1.04 points) over the 27 days before it — measured across its whole board, from the same daily data behind our bookmaker reviews.
From the bookmaker reviews
From our bookmaker reviews: across the 1,328 markets we currently track at PMU, its median margin is 12.29% — the widest of any book on our board right now.
The book most often holding the single best price is Matchbook — top of the board 30.8% of the time across 3,969 markets.
Next steps
This match is settled. The prices that were worth taking on it were only worth taking before it started — that is the whole game, and it is what the live board does.
See today's board — free accountFinal result and closing prices as recorded by our pipeline at the time of the match. Odds shown are historical and no longer available. Not betting advice. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).