Joanna GarlandvsEllen Perez
Every tracked price on Joanna Garland vs Ellen Perez, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| surgebet | Ellen Perez | 14.50 | +14.9% |
| betdeluxe | Ellen Perez | 14.50 | +14.9% |
| betnation-au | Ellen Perez | 14.50 | +14.9% |
| boomers | Ellen Perez | 14.00 | +11.0% |
| superbet | Ellen Perez | 14.00 | +11.0% |
| underdog-predictions | Ellen Perez | 13.40 | +6.2% |
| kalshi | Ellen Perez | 13.36 | +5.9% |
| midnite | Ellen Perez | 13.00 | +3.0% |
| robinhood | Ellen Perez | 12.50 | -0.9% |
| kalshi | Joanna Garland | 1.07 | -1.5% |
| underdog-predictions | Joanna Garland | 1.07 | -1.5% |
| draftkings | Ellen Perez | 12.40 | -1.7% |
| robinhood | Joanna Garland | 1.06 | -2.1% |
| jazz-sports | Joanna Garland | 1.05 | -3.4% |
| draftkings | Joanna Garland | 1.04 | -4.6% |
| rebet | Ellen Perez | 12.00 | -4.9% |
| stake | Ellen Perez | 12.00 | -4.9% |
| dogg_house | Ellen Perez | 12.00 | -4.9% |
| ladbrokes | Ellen Perez | 12.00 | -4.9% |
| Coral | Ellen Perez | 12.00 | -4.9% |
| jackpot-bet | Ellen Perez | 12.00 | -4.9% |
| Neds | Ellen Perez | 12.00 | -4.9% |
| Ladbrokes (Australia) | Ellen Perez | 12.00 | -4.9% |
| 888sport | Joanna Garland | 1.03 | -5.2% |
| theScore | Joanna Garland | 1.03 | -5.3% |
| ladbrokes | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -5.6% |
| Coral | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -5.6% |
| betano | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -5.6% |
| heritage | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -5.8% |
| sportzino | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -6.1% |
| bwin | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -6.1% |
| sportsinteraction | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -6.1% |
| sportingbet | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -6.1% |
| playnow | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -6.1% |
| PointsBet (Australia) | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -6.1% |
| betr (Australia) | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -6.1% |
| betmgm | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -6.1% |
| partypoker | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -6.1% |
| borgata | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -6.1% |
| midnite | Joanna Garland | 1.02 | -6.1% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Joanna Garland 1.09 · Ellen Perez 12.62. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
9
Omen Score
+9.7%
Edge vs sharp consensus
50
Confidence
5
Sharp sources
Flagged side: Over 2.5
@ 6.50 — best price at Coolbet
This is 1 of the live signals on the board right now ·
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AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90
Omen Score
Why this bet
+6.0%
Entry edge
+5.1%
Edge near close
+0.5%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.56
Fair price (no-vig)
3.00
Entry odds
Quality
94/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
0.97%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.69 | +5.1% |
| bet105 | 2.66 | +3.9% |
| SX.bet | 2.63 | +2.7% |
| Matchbook | 2.63 | +2.7% |
| Prophet X | 2.63 | +2.7% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 2.63 | +2.7% |
| STN Sports | 2.62 | +2.3% |
| Betfair Exchange | 2.62 | +2.3% |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62 | +2.3% |
| 4cx | 2.61 | +1.9% |
| Novig | 2.60 | +1.6% |
| Winpot | 2.60 | +1.6% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Joanna Garland vs Ellen Perez
is on the member board now ·
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