MLB · Baseball · Aug 05, 2026 18:40 EDT

Cleveland GuardiansvsNew York Mets

Guardians–Mets totals: betanysports quotes 2.2% above sharp consensus at 2.10 odds, 11 hours from start

What happened: Final score: 5–5. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.10 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +2.7% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 2 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Offered at betanysports2.10Fair price2.05+2.2% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 662 live signals across 274 matches, found the same way.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 11.5 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

At detection—11 hours before first pitch between Cleveland Guardians and New York Mets (MLB)—betanysports has priced the totals market at decimal odds of 2.10, sitting 2.2% above the consensus reached by independent sharp operators. The window remains open as of writing.

The outlier sits 2.2 standard deviations distant from where other bookmakers have clustered—a statistical anomaly that signals real disagreement, not ordinary market churn.

That consensus draws on 22 independent sharp sources, so the underlying fair value isn't the view of any single shop.

The signal aligns with 6 patterns in our Playbook; the most successful has logged +15.9% ROI across its settled bets.

In baseball totals at this odds level, comparable signals have posted +2.6% cumulative ROI over 676 settled wagers on our tracker.

Dislocations of this size have typically compressed within roughly 20 hours of detection before the market corrects to consensus.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals · MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5 @ 2.15
79 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+4.4%
Entry edge
+0.9%
Edge near close
+0.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.13
Fair price (no-vig)
2.25
Entry odds
Quality
80/100
Confidence
9
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Recreational consensus (no sharp anchor) · priced from: Market reference
Sizing
1.55%
Recommended stake
0.8%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Hard Rock2.15+0.9%
espn-bet2.10-1.4%
Hard Rock2.10-1.4%
1xBet2.08-2.3%
Matchbook2.08-2.3%
sport8882.05-3.8%
betparx1.96-7.9%
Bally Bet1.96-7.9%
BetRivers1.96-7.9%
PMU1.83-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Record settled · last updated Aug 06, 2026 01:51 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).