MLB · Baseball · Aug 25, 2026 21:40 EDT · avg book margin 5.0%
San Diego PadresvsPittsburgh Pirates
The 4.9% pre-match edge lost the coin flip — but the market moved toward it before kickoff, which is the part that repeats
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 677 live signals across 283 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
Before San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) kicked off, our board flagged the Asian handicap market: one price sat 4.9% above the sharp consensus at Hard Rock, at decimal odds of 3.10. Bettors following the signal took that price while it lasted.
Final score: 0–1. The bet lost — single results are coin flips around the edge, and we publish them either way.
The part that matters long-run: by kickoff the market had moved toward the flagged side — the price closed +2.0% better than where we caught it (positive closing-line value). CLV is how professionals judge a bet, because results are noisy and closing prices are not.
Signals in this segment — baseball Asian handicap, mid-range odds — have returned +36.3% ROI across 128 settled bets on our board.
This page was written by the same engine that flags edges like this every day, before kickoff — not after. The live board shows them while the window is still open.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 27, 2026 11:21 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).