MLB · Baseball · Aug 28, 2026 19:10 EDT · avg book margin 5.0%

Cleveland GuardiansvsKansas City Royals

Dabble is paying 44.0% over the sharp consensus in the Asian handicap market, 16 hours before first pitch

Offered at Dabble2.40Fair price1.67+44.0% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 677 live signals across 283 matches, found the same way.

LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
99
Omen Score
+45.9%
Edge vs sharp consensus
95
Confidence
4
Sharp sources
Flagged side: Kansas City Royals @ 2.40 — best price at Dabble
This is 1 of the live signals on the board right now · see them all with a free account
A SAMPLE OF BOOKMAKERS ON THIS MATCH · right now — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerSideOddsVs fair
marcaapuestasKansas City Royals2.27+1.3%
1xbetKansas City Royals2.26+0.8%
bet105Kansas City Royals2.26+0.8%
Hard RockKansas City Royals2.25+0.4%
novigKansas City Royals2.25+0.4%
caesarsKansas City Royals2.25+0.4%
williamhillKansas City Royals2.25+0.4%
prophet-xKansas City Royals2.25+0.4%
betanythingKansas City Royals2.24-0.1%
4cxKansas City Royals2.23-0.5%
youwagerKansas City Royals2.22-1.0%
20BetKansas City Royals2.21-1.4%
boomersKansas City Royals2.21-1.4%
play-albertaKansas City Royals2.20-1.9%
ninja-casinoKansas City Royals2.20-1.9%
jackpot-betKansas City Royals2.20-1.9%
PointsBet (Australia)Kansas City Royals2.20-1.9%
campobetKansas City Royals2.20-1.9%
winpotKansas City Royals2.20-1.9%
fanaticsKansas City Royals2.20-1.9%

Margins and best-price rates for every book we track

16 hours before Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals (MLB), bookmakers disagree about the Asian handicap market — and one side of that disagreement is currently priced 44.0% above the sharp consensus at Dabble, at decimal odds of 2.40. This is a live edge, not a post-mortem: the window is open as this page is generated.

One price sits 10.3 standard deviations away from where the rest of the market has settled — a genuine outlier, not ordinary noise.

4 independent sharp sources price this market, so the fair line behind that edge isn't one book's opinion.

Similar bets have paid before: signals in this exact segment — baseball Asian handicap, mid-range odds — have returned +36.8% ROI across 133 settled bets tracked on our board.

Edges like this don't wait for first pitch: in this market, they have typically held for about 8 hours before the price corrects.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals · MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5 @ 2.15
79 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+4.4%
Entry edge
+0.9%
Edge near close
+0.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.13
Fair price (no-vig)
2.25
Entry odds
Quality
80/100
Confidence
9
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Recreational consensus (no sharp anchor) · priced from: Market reference
Sizing
1.55%
Recommended stake
0.8%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Hard Rock2.15+0.9%
espn-bet2.10-1.4%
Hard Rock2.10-1.4%
1xBet2.08-2.3%
Matchbook2.08-2.3%
sport8882.05-3.8%
betparx1.96-7.9%
Bally Bet1.96-7.9%
BetRivers1.96-7.9%
PMU1.83-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).