Cubs–Blue Jays at 2–2: Chicago's win probability surged 64 points in 7 minutes as live markets repriced across 143+ books
At 169 minutes elapsed in Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays (MLB), the scoreline leveled at 2–2. The consensus view of Chicago Cubs' win probability shifted dramatically over the following 7 minutes—from 8% to 72% across 143+ bookmakers—then stabilized at that new level. This is how markets respond when fresh information enters the pool.
Live repricing happens in seconds, not minutes, and the speed varies. Operators that move slower are what keep value leaking into in-game markets: they quote prices describing a game state that has already changed.
Outrunning the sharpest desks is futile—but knowing which sportsbooks consistently lag is not. Our board identifies and tracks those gaps, both before kickoff and during play.
Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).