MLB · Baseball · Aug 09, 2026 16:10 EDT · avg book margin 5.0%
Arizona DiamondbacksvsLos Angeles Dodgers
Diamondbacks-Dodgers totals: Hard Rock pricing 3.8% above sharp consensus 14 hours before first pitch
What happened: Final score: 4–2. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.10 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The closing line moved against the signal (-1.1% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 14 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 662 live signals across 274 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 14.1 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
The totals market for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) splits across bookmakers 14 hours ahead of first pitch. At Hard Rock, decimal odds of 2.10 sit 3.8% above where sharp operators have anchored their consensus—a measurable gap that remains active at detection. This represents a live dislocation in the market, not a historical review.
Our Playbook matches this setup to 2 historical patterns; the strongest has delivered +18.0% ROI across its closed record.
Baseball totals dislocations at these price points have historically tightened in roughly 5 hours as competing books and sharper capital move toward equilibrium.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 10, 2026 06:34 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).