MLB · Baseball · Aug 09, 2026 16:00 EDT

San Francisco GiantsvsDetroit Tigers

Giants–Tigers: San Francisco's odds collapsed 34 points in 9 minutes—TonyBet sat with a 33-point edge for 14 minutes before matching

33pp window, 14 min2%43%84% market median TonyBet (slowest)

At the 149-minute mark of San Francisco Giants vs Detroit Tigers (MLB), the live market repriced itself on new information. Across 146+ bookmakers, San Francisco Giants's implied win probability fell from 50% to 16% in a 9-minute window, then held firm. No scoreboard moment triggered it. The market moved because the market knew something.

Speed fractured the field. 1xBet and 888sport closed the gap within 1 minute; among 108 books that repriced, the median time was 5 minutes. But three outliers dragged: TonyBet took 14 minutes, betwhale and rivalry each needed 9.

That 14-minute gap at TonyBet is now history, which is when numbers like this become publishable. For those 14 minutes, a Detroit Tigers play sat available at stale odds while the rest of the market had moved 33 points past it. These dislocations occur constantly in live markets; the obstacle is catching them while they still exist.

Outrunning the fast money to its next repricing is impossible. What works is mapping which operators consistently lag, then acting when those same operators lag again. That pattern is what our board is built to track—both in the hours before kickoff and as play unfolds.

Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals · MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5 @ 2.15
79 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+4.4%
Entry edge
+0.9%
Edge near close
+0.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.13
Fair price (no-vig)
2.25
Entry odds
Quality
80/100
Confidence
9
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Recreational consensus (no sharp anchor) · priced from: Market reference
Sizing
1.55%
Recommended stake
0.8%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Hard Rock2.15+0.9%
espn-bet2.10-1.4%
Hard Rock2.10-1.4%
1xBet2.08-2.3%
Matchbook2.08-2.3%
sport8882.05-3.8%
betparx1.96-7.9%
Bally Bet1.96-7.9%
BetRivers1.96-7.9%
PMU1.83-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for San Francisco Giants vs Detroit Tigers is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).