MLB · Baseball · Aug 10, 2026 21:40 EDT · avg book margin 4.6%
Arizona DiamondbacksvsColorado Rockies
YouWager moneyline sits 2.1% soft to sharp consensus, 8 hours from first pitch
What happened: Final score: 9–0. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-24.3% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 24 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 22 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 8.1 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
YouWager is quoting the Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies moneyline at decimal odds of 2.90 as of writing—a departure of 2.1% from where sharp operators have priced the same outcome. With 8 hours until first pitch, the gap between this quote and the consensus remains active and measurable.
The YouWager quote sits 2.4 standard deviations from the cluster of other operator prices—a meaningful dislocation, not market routine.
Six independent sharp sources converge on the consensus, so the underlying fair value reflects genuine cross-market agreement rather than a single operator's view.
This signal matches 1 pattern in the archive of profitable structures. The best-performing instance of that pattern has yielded +9.9% return on resolved wagers.
Baseball moneylines in this odds range have generated +15.0% ROI across 590 closed bets tracked historically—a segment where similar dislocations have offered value.
Pricing errors in this market segment typically compress before first pitch, with comparable edges historically lasting roughly 9 hours from detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 11, 2026 04:26 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).