MLB · Baseball · Aug 10, 2026 19:07 EDT · avg book margin 5.1%
Toronto Blue JaysvsBoston Red Sox
Blue Jays–Red Sox Asian handicap shows Bodog 3.1% loose to sharp consensus, 22 hours until first pitch
What happened: Final score: 2–1. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-2.3% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 26 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 662 live signals across 274 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 22.4 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
As of 22 hours before first pitch between the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox, the Asian handicap market reveals a pricing gap: Bodog is quoting decimal odds of 2.20 on one side, a level that sits 3.1% above where independent sharp operators have converged. The dislocation is live and measurable at detection.
Five separate sharp sources form the consensus, so the theoretical fair value underpinning this edge does not derive from any single operator's call.
Our Playbook connects this configuration to 7 historically profitable setups. The best-performing variant has posted +11.2% ROI on settled bets.
The track record for baseball Asian handicap signals in this odds range is accessible: 167 settled bets in this exact segment have accumulated +19.8% ROI, establishing the baseline for current edges.
Pricing gaps in this market typically compress fast—historical data shows comparable edges have held for roughly 42 minutes before correction arrives.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 11, 2026 02:02 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).