MLB · Baseball · Aug 12, 2026 16:00 EDT

Detroit TigersvsCleveland Guardians

Tigers–Guardians: Detroit stayed underpriced at betwhale for 16 minutes as the market absorbed a 19-point repricing

+27% window, 16 min30%48%67% market median betwhale (slowest)

At 183 minutes into Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians (MLB), the market shifted on information alone—no scoreboard event triggered the move. Across 144+ bookmakers, Detroit Tigers' win probability surged from 39% to 58% over 9 minutes and then stabilized. This is information flowing through the system.

The repricing unfolded at different speeds across the market. 1xBet and 888sport were among the first to adjust, moving within roughly 5 minutes. The median operator in the 113 that repriced took 5 minutes to follow suit. Three sportsbooks lagged noticeably: betwhale, rivalry, and betplay each needed 16 minutes to catch up.

The window has since closed, and the full record is now visible. For 16 minutes as of detection, bettors could have wagered on Detroit Tigers at betwhale's outdated price—approximately 27% softer than where the market had repriced. A 12-point discrepancy remained visible on the board throughout. Dislocations like these surface in live markets regularly; identifying them before they disappear is the actual challenge.

You will never get ahead of the fastest books on the repricing itself. What you can do is map which operators consistently move last, then monitor that lag unfold in real time. Our tracking board identifies those patterns across both pre-match and live markets.

Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals · MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5 @ 2.15
79 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+4.4%
Entry edge
+0.9%
Edge near close
+0.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.13
Fair price (no-vig)
2.25
Entry odds
Quality
80/100
Confidence
9
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Recreational consensus (no sharp anchor) · priced from: Market reference
Sizing
1.55%
Recommended stake
0.8%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Hard Rock2.15+0.9%
espn-bet2.10-1.4%
Hard Rock2.10-1.4%
1xBet2.08-2.3%
Matchbook2.08-2.3%
sport8882.05-3.8%
betparx1.96-7.9%
Bally Bet1.96-7.9%
BetRivers1.96-7.9%
PMU1.83-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).