ATP Challenger Tour · Tennis · Aug 12, 2026 06:00 UTC · avg book margin 7.1%
Lucio RattivsKhumoyun Sultanov
Ratti–Sultanov 0–2: moneyline detection caught 18.8% soft at Bet99, closed with +2.7% CLV
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 813 live signals across 407 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection, Bet99 priced the Lucio Ratti vs Khumoyun Sultanov moneyline (ATP Challenger Tour) at decimal 1.87—18.8% wider than the sharp consensus. The board surfaced the inefficiency before the opening serve. Those who acted took the price while the window remained open.
The match ended 0–2. The flagged side cashed, yielding +0.87 units on 1 unit wagered.
Between detection and kickoff, the market shifted +2.7% in the direction of the flagged position—a positive closing-line value. Professionals use CLV to evaluate detection because market repricing is repeatable while single outcomes are not.
Detections in this category—tennis moneyline, fav-range prices—have compounded to +10.5% ROI over 845 settled signals on the board.
The engine generating this signal runs before kickoff, not in hindsight. The live board displays mispricings as they appear and removes each signal once the executable window closes.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Bwin
3.10
+7.2%
Sportingbet
3.10
+7.2%
Sportsinteraction
3.10
+7.2%
Superbet
3.05
+5.5%
Sx.Bet
3.03
+4.8%
Tailgate Exchange
3.03
+4.8%
Matchbook
3.01
+4.1%
Betway
3.00
+3.7%
Casumo
3.00
+3.7%
Unibet
3.00
+3.7%
Proline
3.00
+3.7%
Betjack
3.00
+3.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +7.9% settled ROI on 41% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +6.3% settled ROI on 43% winners
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +4.3% settled ROI on 42% winners
Past performance
Based on 441 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days
+7.0% 🔒
Closing line value
+7.7% 🔒
Average return
+6.3% 🔒
Beat the closing line
39%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +3.2% to +8.3% 🔒
No reliable edge either way: too close to break-even to call
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Lucio Ratti vs Khumoyun Sultanov
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 12, 2026 14:41 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).