Giants-Astros: San Francisco traded 7 points soft at Duel for 9 minutes as market absorbed an 18-point repricing
At the 43-minute mark of San Francisco Giants vs Houston Astros (MLB), the market shifted without a scoreboard catalyst. Across 141+ bookmakers, San Francisco Giants' implied win probability jumped from 47% to 64% in roughly 6 minutes—then stayed there. Information had found the market.
The repricing was not instantaneous. Coral and Ladbrokes UK moved first, within about 1 minute. The median adjustment time among the 6 books that repriced: 9 minutes. Duel, Overtime Markets, and Ladbrokes UK each lagged 9 minutes behind the fastest movers.
The window has closed, so the full damage is now measurable. At Duel, bettors could have backed San Francisco Giants at a stale price for roughly 9 minutes—about 7 percentage points softer than what the repriced consensus had settled on. An 4-point gap sat visible on the board for the duration. Live markets open these pockets constantly; the trick is detecting them before they seal.
Chasing the fastest operators into their next repricing is futile. The actual play is knowing which books move last, and tracking that delay as it unfolds. Our board maps exactly that lag pattern, both before kickoff and during live action.
Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for San Francisco Giants vs Houston Astros
is on the member board now ·
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).