Yankees–Mariners: Betfair Exchange (AU) stayed 13 points soft for 6 minutes as the live market repriced 13 points
At the 22-minute mark of New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners (MLB), the market shifted on fresh information alone—no scoreboard event triggered it. Across 144+ bookmakers, Seattle Mariners' win probability jumped from 7% to 20% over the next 6 minutes, then stabilized. The move showed how live markets absorb information.
Repricing speed varied sharply across the field. BC.Game and Betfair Exchange closed the gap in roughly 1 minute; among the 106 books that repriced, the median time to adjustment was 2 minutes. Three operators lagged furthest: Betfair Exchange (AU) at 6 minutes, crypto.com at 5 minutes, and betjack at 5 minutes.
That opening is sealed now, which means the full record is clear. For 6 minutes as of detection, bettors could have taken Seattle Mariners at Betfair Exchange (AU)'s stale quote—13 points wider than the repriced consensus—while the gap sat visible on the board. Dislocations of this scale surface in live markets constantly; the difficulty lies in spotting them before they close.
You cannot arrive ahead of the fastest books at their repricing. What you can do is map which operators consistently fall behind, then observe that lag unfold as it happens. Our board logs operator-level gaps across pre-match and live slate.
Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).