MLB · Baseball · Aug 13, 2026 16:00 EDT

Washington NationalsvsChicago Cubs

Washington Nationals opened at 74% but spiked to 98% within 8 minutes—Fliff took 6 minutes to catch a 23-point slip and 45% edge

+45% window, 6 min43%75%107% market median Fliff (slowest)

A score shift to 2–0 in Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs arrived 79 minutes in. The consensus view of Washington Nationals' chances rocketed from 74% to 98% in just 8 minutes across 144+ sportsbooks. Once the repricing settled, it held firm—textbook behavior when new data floods a betting market.

Speed varied sharply. 888sport and BetDEX closed their gaps in roughly 1 minute each. The middle cohort of 111 books that repriced needed a median of 2 minutes. Fliff was the lag leader at 6 minutes; theScore and partypoker both took 2 minutes to follow.

The window is now sealed, so the full record stands: for about 6 minutes as of detection, bettors could have wagered on Washington Nationals at Fliff's outdated quote—roughly 45% softer than the repriced consensus—with a 23-point gap sitting plainly on view. Such dislocations occur in live markets constantly; the barrier is spotting them before they vanish.

The fastest operators will always reprice before you see it coming. The edge lies elsewhere: identifying which books habitually drag, then observing that delay unfold as it occurs. Our board documents operator-level drift across both live and pre-match slates.

Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals · MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5 @ 2.15
79 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+4.4%
Entry edge
+0.9%
Edge near close
+0.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.13
Fair price (no-vig)
2.25
Entry odds
Quality
80/100
Confidence
9
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Recreational consensus (no sharp anchor) · priced from: Market reference
Sizing
1.55%
Recommended stake
0.8%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Hard Rock2.15+0.9%
espn-bet2.10-1.4%
Hard Rock2.10-1.4%
1xBet2.08-2.3%
Matchbook2.08-2.3%
sport8882.05-3.8%
betparx1.96-7.9%
Bally Bet1.96-7.9%
BetRivers1.96-7.9%
PMU1.83-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).