MLB · Baseball · Aug 14, 2026 22:15 EDT · avg book margin 5.0%
San Francisco GiantsvsColorado Rockies
Giants–Rockies Asian handicap at BetNation trades 9.5% above sharp consensus, 25 hours to first pitch
What happened: Final score: 2–5. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-0.5% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 31 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 2 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 25.2 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
As of writing, 25 hours before San Francisco Giants meet Colorado Rockies (MLB), BetNation's Asian handicap decimal odds of 3.05 sit 9.5% above where independent sharp operators have priced the same outcome. The gap is live; the mispricing is available now.
The outlier sits 4.7 standard deviations beyond the consensus cluster—a structural breach, not everyday market churn.
The consensus fair line is anchored by 2 independent sharp sources, meaning the benchmark reflects multiple professional operators rather than a single book's view.
This signal maps onto 2 historically profitable patterns from the Playbook. The stronger of the two has posted +29.5% ROI on its settled bet cohort.
The archive on baseball Asian handicap at mid-range odds spans 218 settled bets. Comparable pricing dislocations have returned +23.7% ROI total, establishing a precedent for how such gaps have historically compressed.
Edges in this market segment do not survive to first pitch. Comparable signals have typically eroded toward consensus parity within roughly 2 hours from detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 15, 2026 04:51 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).