CFL · American Football · Aug 15, 2026 19:00 EDT · avg book margin 4.8%

Hamilton Tiger-CatsvsSaskatchewan Roughriders

Tiger-Cats 26, Roughriders 19: moneyline mispricing of 12.4% repriced toward value and cashed at detection

How it ended, price by price: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Saskatchewan Roughriders — full match recap with closing odds

Offered at STN Sports3.96Fair price3.52+12.4% above fair

Omenizer detected 16 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

At detection, the Hamilton Tiger-Cats moneyline against Saskatchewan Roughriders (CFL) showed a gap in the market: one outlet priced the matchup at decimal 3.96, a divergence of 12.4% above the sharp consensus. The board surfaced this inefficiency before kickoff, creating a window for bettors to execute at that level.

Hamilton won 26–19. A 1-unit stake on the flagged side returned +2.96 units.

Where the signal compounds: closing-line value. Between detection and kickoff, the market shifted +0.3% toward the flagged outcome. Professionals measure CLV across portfolios because outcomes are volatile while systematic repricing is reliable.

CFL moneyline detections in this odds band have accumulated +24.1% ROI across 48 settled signals on the board.

Detection runs before kickoff via the algorithm that surfaces mispricings daily. The live board displays flagged edges while execution remains open, not retroactively after settlement.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions · CFL · American Football — flagged side BC Lions @ 3.10
92 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+7.0%
Entry edge
+17.6%
Edge near close
2.64
Fair price (no-vig)
3.10
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.16%
Recommended stake
8.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.4%
Shin
+4.5%
Power
+7.0%
Additive
-7.1%
Worst case
+7.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 4.7σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
1xBet3.10+17.6%
Casumo2.65+0.5%
Unibet2.65+0.5%
Proline2.65+0.5%
betparx2.65+0.5%
LeoVegas2.65+0.5%
TABtouch2.65+0.5%
Bally Bet2.65+0.5%
BetNation2.65+0.5%
BetRivers2.65+0.5%
Unibet2.65+0.5%
Unibet2.65+0.5%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
38%
Fair win probability
+8.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+2.9% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 13, 16:49 UTC at 3.10 (+7.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.64 → closing-line value +9.9%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Saskatchewan Roughriders is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
See the live board — free account

The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Record settled · last updated Aug 17, 2026 10:14 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).