WTA Tour · Tennis · Aug 15, 2026 19:20 UTC · avg book margin 5.3%
Kamilla RakhimovavsMaria Sakkari
Rakhimova–Sakkari moneyline at Betano trades 5.3% above sharp consensus, 1 hour before serve
What happened: Final score: 0–1. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +2.7% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 79 minutes after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 66 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 1.3 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection—1 hour before Kamilla Rakhimova plays Maria Sakkari on the WTA Tour—Betano's moneyline quote has drifted to decimal odds of 2.85, a level running 5.3% above where independent sharp operators have clustered their valuations. The mispricing remains available as of writing.
This quote deviates 3.6 standard deviations from the cluster where competing operators have aligned—a structural breach, not ordinary market scatter.
The consensus fair line draws from 3 independent sharp sources, anchoring the benchmark in distributed professional judgment rather than a single operator's model.
This signal aligns with 2 historically profitable patterns in our archive—the top-performing variant has compounded to +10.8% across its settled bet cohort.
The record on tennis moneyline signals at mid-range odds spans 3023 settled bets. Comparable pricings in this exact segment have generated +7.0% cumulative ROI, establishing precedent for how such dislocations have resolved.
Mispricings of this type do not linger: comparable edges in this market segment have typically compressed toward consensus within roughly 9 hours from detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
bwin
3.10
+7.2%
sportingbet
3.10
+7.2%
sportsinteraction
3.10
+7.2%
Superbet
3.05
+5.5%
SX.bet
3.03
+4.8%
Tailgate Exchange
3.03
+4.8%
Matchbook
3.01
+4.1%
Betway
3.00
+3.7%
Casumo
3.00
+3.7%
Unibet
3.00
+3.7%
Proline
3.00
+3.7%
betJACK
3.00
+3.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 15, 2026 22:11 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).