Phillies–Marlins: a 13-point pricing gap at Tailgate Exchange lasted 13 minutes as the market repriced on a 1–0 shift
At 208 minutes into play, Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins moved to 1–0. The live consensus among 147+ bookmakers shifted sharply: Philadelphia Phillies' win probability jumped from 79% to 92% within 8 minutes, then locked in. A repricing of that magnitude signals real information flowing through the market at scale.
Repricing speed fractured across the field. Betfair Exchange and bracco shifted within roughly 1 minute; among 115 books that moved, the median adjustment took 3 minutes. The laggards: Tailgate Exchange (13 min), Betr AU (11 min), TonyBet (7 min).
The window has closed, so the full picture emerges now: for 13 minutes as of writing, informed bettors could have placed Philadelphia Phillies at Tailgate Exchange's stale price, collecting roughly 22% additional value relative to the repriced market while the 13-point gap sat visible on the board. These pricing fractures appear on live exchanges constantly; the obstacle is recognizing them before they collapse.
Chasing the fastest reprices is unwinnable — but that is not the only route. The edge lies in flagging which books systematically lag, measuring how those gaps widen over time, and our board surfaces those exact delays across both pregame and in-play action.
Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
is on the member board now ·
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).