Astros–Angels totals: Hard Rock quoting 3.2% above sharp consensus at 2.11, 13 hours before first pitch
What happened: Final score: 3–18. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.11 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The closing line moved against the signal (-0.1% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 0 minutes after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 662 live signals across 274 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 13 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection—13 hours before Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels (MLB)—Hard Rock has priced one side of the totals market at decimal odds of 2.11, a figure sitting 3.2% above where independent sharp operators have converged. The mispricing is measurable and current; the pricing window remains active at this hour.
When bookmaker quotes splinter across a wide range, one side is pricing incorrectly. The outlier sits 5.0 standard deviations from consensus clustering—well beyond the threshold of random fluctuation. This is structural disagreement among pricing sources, not daily chop.
The consensus aggregate draws from 29 independent sharp sources. The fair value behind this edge belongs to distributed professional analysis, not a single book's view.
Two historically profitable patterns from our database align with this signal. The stronger pattern has realized +8.2% ROI when fully settled.
The track record runs long in this segment. Baseball totals at mid-range odds have accumulated +3.6% ROI across 826 settled bets in our historical record when similar signals triggered.
Mispricings of this magnitude do not persist through first pitch. Comparable edges in this exact market segment have typically tightened back toward consensus within about 20 hours of detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard Rock
2.15
+0.9%
espn-bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
sport888
2.05
-3.8%
betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 21, 2026 03:11 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).