CFL · American Football · Aug 21, 2026 21:30 EDT · avg book margin 4.8%
Edmonton ElksvsWinnipeg Blue Bombers
TheScore is paying 5.8% over the sharp consensus in the moneyline market, 5 hours before kickoff
What happened: Final score: 22–19. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-2.2% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 5 hours after detection before the edge closed.
Omenizer detected 15 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 4.8 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
5 hours before Edmonton Elks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers (CFL), bookmakers disagree about the moneyline market — and one side of that disagreement is currently priced 5.8% above the sharp consensus at theScore, at decimal odds of 3.40. This is a live edge, not a post-mortem: the window is open as this page is generated.
One price sits 2.4 standard deviations away from where the rest of the market has settled — a genuine outlier, not ordinary noise.
3 independent sharp sources price this market, so the fair line behind that edge isn't one book's opinion.
This signal fits 1 historically profitable pattern from our Playbook — the strongest has realized +11.4% on settled bets.
Similar bets have paid before: signals in this exact segment — american football moneyline, mid-range odds — have returned +25.7% ROI across 49 settled bets tracked on our board.
Edges like this don't wait for kickoff: in this market, they have typically held for about 4 days before the price corrects.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions
· CFL · American Football — flagged side BC Lions
@ 3.10
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.4%
Shin
+4.5%
Power
+7.0%
Additive
-7.1%
Worst case
+7.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 4.7σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
1xBet
3.10
+17.6%
Casumo
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Proline
2.65
+0.5%
betparx
2.65
+0.5%
LeoVegas
2.65
+0.5%
TABtouch
2.65
+0.5%
Bally Bet
2.65
+0.5%
BetNation
2.65
+0.5%
BetRivers
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
38%
Fair win probability
+8.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+2.9% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 13, 16:49 UTC at 3.10 (+7.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.64 → closing-line value +9.9%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Edmonton Elks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 22, 2026 04:21 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).