Lucas PoullainvsArvid Nordquist
Every tracked price on Lucas Poullain vs Arvid Nordquist, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| draftkings | Lucas Poullain | 1.24 | -3.5% |
| Bodog | Lucas Poullain | 1.22 | -4.5% |
| bovada | Lucas Poullain | 1.22 | -4.5% |
| Neds | Lucas Poullain | 1.20 | -6.3% |
| Ladbrokes (Australia) | Lucas Poullain | 1.20 | -6.3% |
| betano | Lucas Poullain | 1.19 | -7.0% |
| PointsBet (Ontario) | Lucas Poullain | 1.18 | -7.7% |
| PointsBet (Australia) | Lucas Poullain | 1.18 | -7.8% |
| bet99 | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.3% |
| espn-bet | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.3% |
| theScore | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.3% |
| 1xbet | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.4% |
| betsson | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.6% |
| rizk | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.6% |
| ibet | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.6% |
| betsafe | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.6% |
| surgebet | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.6% |
| betnation-au | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.6% |
| betdeluxe | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.6% |
| 20Bet | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.6% |
| 888sport | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.8% |
| Coral | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.9% |
| ladbrokes | Lucas Poullain | 1.17 | -8.9% |
| betnacional | Lucas Poullain | 1.16 | -9.4% |
| bwin | Lucas Poullain | 1.16 | -9.4% |
| sportingbet | Lucas Poullain | 1.16 | -9.4% |
| sportsinteraction | Lucas Poullain | 1.16 | -9.4% |
| bcgame | Lucas Poullain | 1.16 | -9.4% |
| rivalry | Lucas Poullain | 1.16 | -9.4% |
| betplay | Lucas Poullain | 1.16 | -9.4% |
| betwhale | Lucas Poullain | 1.16 | -9.4% |
| superbet | Lucas Poullain | 1.15 | -10.2% |
| play-alberta | Lucas Poullain | 1.15 | -10.2% |
| bet99 | Arvid Nordquist | 4.65 | -21.3% |
| Coral | Arvid Nordquist | 4.60 | -22.1% |
| ladbrokes | Arvid Nordquist | 4.60 | -22.1% |
| bcgame | Arvid Nordquist | 4.60 | -22.1% |
| rivalry | Arvid Nordquist | 4.60 | -22.1% |
| betplay | Arvid Nordquist | 4.60 | -22.1% |
| espn-bet | Arvid Nordquist | 4.60 | -22.1% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Lucas Poullain 1.28 · Arvid Nordquist 5.91. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81
Omen Score
Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportingbet | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportsinteraction | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Superbet | 3.05 | +5.5% |
| SX.bet | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Matchbook | 3.01 | +4.1% |
| Betway | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Casumo | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Proline | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| betJACK | 3.00 | +3.7% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Lucas Poullain vs Arvid Nordquist
is on the member board now ·
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