Darja SemenistajavsHayu Kinoshita
Every tracked price on Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita, against the same margin-free fair line.
| Bookmaker | Side | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| fanduel | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.32 | -2.1% |
| betnacional | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.29 | -3.4% |
| robinhood | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.28 | -3.8% |
| robinhood | Darja Semenistaja | 1.69 | -4.0% |
| polymarket | Darja Semenistaja | 1.69 | -4.3% |
| Fliff | Darja Semenistaja | 1.69 | -4.3% |
| 1xbet | Darja Semenistaja | 1.68 | -4.6% |
| draftkings | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.26 | -4.7% |
| coolbet | Darja Semenistaja | 1.68 | -4.8% |
| kalshi | Darja Semenistaja | 1.68 | -5.1% |
| bovada | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.25 | -5.1% |
| Bodog | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.25 | -5.1% |
| paddypower | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.25 | -5.1% |
| theScore | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.25 | -5.1% |
| sportsbet | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.25 | -5.1% |
| STN Sports | Darja Semenistaja | 1.68 | -5.1% |
| betnation-au | Darja Semenistaja | 1.67 | -5.3% |
| betdeluxe | Darja Semenistaja | 1.67 | -5.3% |
| surgebet | Darja Semenistaja | 1.67 | -5.3% |
| Dabble (Australia) | Darja Semenistaja | 1.67 | -5.3% |
| Mise-o-jeu | Darja Semenistaja | 1.67 | -5.3% |
| kalshi | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.24 | -5.5% |
| bovada | Darja Semenistaja | 1.67 | -5.6% |
| Bodog | Darja Semenistaja | 1.67 | -5.6% |
| PointsBet (Ontario) | Darja Semenistaja | 1.67 | -5.6% |
| betano | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.22 | -6.4% |
| superbet | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.22 | -6.4% |
| play-alberta | Darja Semenistaja | 1.65 | -6.6% |
| draftkings | Darja Semenistaja | 1.65 | -6.6% |
| PointsBet (Australia) | Darja Semenistaja | 1.65 | -6.6% |
| playnow | Darja Semenistaja | 1.65 | -6.6% |
| FireKeepers | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.21 | -6.8% |
| betsson | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.21 | -6.8% |
| rizk | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.21 | -6.8% |
| ibet | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.21 | -6.8% |
| betsafe | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.21 | -6.8% |
| STN Sports | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.21 | -6.8% |
| dogg_house | Darja Semenistaja | 1.64 | -7.0% |
| bet99 | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.20 | -7.2% |
| lottoland | Hayu Kinoshita | 2.20 | -7.2% |
No-vig fair odds (margin removed): Darja Semenistaja 1.77 · Hayu Kinoshita 2.37. How fair prices are made. Step through the devig math.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled match
PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81
Omen Score
Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
| Bookmaker | Odds | Vs fair |
|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportingbet | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| sportsinteraction | 3.10 | +7.2% |
| Superbet | 3.05 | +5.5% |
| SX.bet | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Tailgate Exchange | 3.03 | +4.8% |
| Matchbook | 3.01 | +4.1% |
| Betway | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Casumo | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| Proline | 3.00 | +3.7% |
| betJACK | 3.00 | +3.7% |
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita
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