ATP Challenger Tour · Tennis · Aug 07, 2026 12:00 UTC · avg book margin 7.0%
Carlos Sanchez JovervsGeorge Lazarov
Sanchez Jover–Lazarov: 7.2% mispricing at Betano repriced +1.8% toward the signal before the serve
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 737 live signals across 339 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection, the moneyline for the ATP Challenger Tour match between Carlos Sanchez Jover and George Lazarov carried decimal odds of 3.15 at Betano — pricing one outcome 7.2% softer than the sharp consensus. The board surfaced the inefficiency while liquidity remained. Those who acted on the signal captured the price at depth.
Sanchez Jover defeated Lazarov 2–0. The flagged position lost. Tennis matches are inherently scattered; a single scoreline tells almost nothing about bet quality.
What scales: between detection and match start, the market repriced toward the flagged side, closing +1.8% better than the initial catch point (positive closing-line value). Professionals build edge assessment on CLV, not outcomes, because final scores are noise and market movement is signal.
Across 2759 resolved tennis moneyline signals at this odds tier on the board, aggregate ROI stands at +7.3%.
This analysis was generated before match start by the detection system that surfaces mispricings daily. The live board publishes edges during the window when they remain liquid and executable.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Bwin
3.10
+7.2%
Sportingbet
3.10
+7.2%
Sportsinteraction
3.10
+7.2%
Superbet
3.05
+5.5%
Sx.Bet
3.03
+4.8%
Tailgate Exchange
3.03
+4.8%
Matchbook
3.01
+4.1%
Betway
3.00
+3.7%
Casumo
3.00
+3.7%
Unibet
3.00
+3.7%
Proline
3.00
+3.7%
Betjack
3.00
+3.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +7.9% settled ROI on 41% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +6.3% settled ROI on 43% winners
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +4.3% settled ROI on 42% winners
Past performance
Based on 441 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days
+7.0% 🔒
Closing line value
+7.7% 🔒
Average return
+6.3% 🔒
Beat the closing line
39%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +3.2% to +8.3% 🔒
No reliable edge either way: too close to break-even to call
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Carlos Sanchez Jover vs George Lazarov
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 08, 2026 07:12 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).