ITF Women · Tennis · Aug 07, 2026 03:00 UTC · avg book margin 8.4%
Chenting ZhuvsJiayi Wang
Market repriced +2.5% toward the flagged 15.1% mispricing before the match — and that pattern is what compounds
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 723 live signals across 328 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection, the ITF Women moneyline between Chenting Zhu and Jiayi Wang showed decimal odds of 2.14 at Rushbet — pricing one outcome 15.1% softer than the sharp consensus. The edge had enough depth to trade. Those who acted on the signal took the odds while liquidity remained.
Chenting Zhu vs Jiayi Wang settled 2–1. The flagged position lost. Tennis matches are inherently scattered; a single scoreline tells almost nothing about bet quality.
What scales: the market moved +2.5% toward the flagged side between detection and match start (positive closing-line value). This closing repricing validates the edge detection independent of the result. Professionals build edge assessment on CLV, not outcomes, because final scores are noise and market movement is signal.
Across 2741 settled bets in the tennis moneyline segment at this odds range on the board, aggregate return stands at +7.4% ROI.
This analysis was generated before match start by the detection engine that surfaces mispricings daily. The live board publishes edges only during the executable window—before play begins.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Bwin
3.10
+7.2%
Sportingbet
3.10
+7.2%
Sportsinteraction
3.10
+7.2%
Superbet
3.05
+5.5%
Sx.Bet
3.03
+4.8%
Tailgate Exchange
3.03
+4.8%
Matchbook
3.01
+4.1%
Betway
3.00
+3.7%
Casumo
3.00
+3.7%
Unibet
3.00
+3.7%
Proline
3.00
+3.7%
Betjack
3.00
+3.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
• early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +7.9% settled ROI on 41% winners
• consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +6.3% settled ROI on 43% winners
• steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +4.3% settled ROI on 42% winners
Past performance
Based on 441 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days
+7.0% 🔒
Closing line value
+7.7% 🔒
Average return
+6.3% 🔒
Beat the closing line
39%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +3.2% to +8.3% 🔒
No reliable edge either way: too close to break-even to call
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Chenting Zhu vs Jiayi Wang
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 07, 2026 14:14 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).