Steelers–Packers at 136 minutes: Pittsburgh moved from 47% to 74% in 5 minutes; bet105 held a 26-point stale price for 14 minutes
When Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers (NFL) reached 7–9 at the 136-minute mark, the market shifted sharply. In just 5 minutes, Pittsburgh Steelers' implied win probability jumped from 47% to 74% across 110+ bookmakers—and the new consensus held. That velocity signals real information crossing the threshold into price.
Repricing speed varied dramatically across operators. Bodog and Bovada updated within roughly 1 minute; among the 87 books that moved, the median adjustment took 4 minutes. The laggards included bet105 (14 min), TonyBet (14 min), and SportsBetting.ag (14 min).
As of detection, that dislocated period has sealed—allowing the full details to surface. For 14 minutes at bet105, bettors could have locked in Pittsburgh Steelers at a price roughly 20% softer than the repriced market, with a 12-point gap visible on the board the entire time. These openings materialize across live markets routinely; the burden is recognizing them before they compress.
Beating the sharpest operators to repricing is impossible. What is possible: identifying which sportsbooks structurally drag, then documenting when their gaps close. Our board maps operator lag across live and pre-match markets.
Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions
· CFL · American Football — flagged side BC Lions
@ 3.10
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.4%
Shin
+4.5%
Power
+7.0%
Additive
-7.1%
Worst case
+7.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 4.7σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
1xBet
3.10
+17.6%
Casumo
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Proline
2.65
+0.5%
betparx
2.65
+0.5%
LeoVegas
2.65
+0.5%
TABtouch
2.65
+0.5%
Bally Bet
2.65
+0.5%
BetNation
2.65
+0.5%
BetRivers
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
38%
Fair win probability
+8.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+2.9% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 13, 16:49 UTC at 3.10 (+7.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.64 → closing-line value +9.9%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).