NFL · American Football · Aug 13, 2026 21:00 EDT · avg book margin 5.0%
San Francisco 49ersvsTennessee Titans
49ers–Titans Asian handicap: Unibet pricing 8.9% above sharp consensus, 27 hours to kickoff
What happened: Final score: 13–19. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-24.7% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 67 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 662 live signals across 274 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 27 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection—27 hours before San Francisco 49ers meet Tennessee Titans in NFL play—Unibet has priced the Asian handicap at decimal odds of 2.32, positioning itself 8.9% above where independent sharp operators have anchored the market. The dislocation remains live and accessible as of this writing.
Unibet's quote stands 2.2 standard deviations removed from the consensus cluster—structural disagreement between the book and its peers, not typical market scatter.
The consensus reference line draws from 2 independent sharp sources, meaning the benchmark reflects multiple professional operators rather than any single book's call.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions
· CFL · American Football — flagged side BC Lions
@ 3.10
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.4%
Shin
+4.5%
Power
+7.0%
Additive
-7.1%
Worst case
+7.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 4.7σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
1xBet
3.10
+17.6%
Casumo
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Proline
2.65
+0.5%
betparx
2.65
+0.5%
LeoVegas
2.65
+0.5%
TABtouch
2.65
+0.5%
Bally Bet
2.65
+0.5%
BetNation
2.65
+0.5%
BetRivers
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
38%
Fair win probability
+8.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+2.9% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 13, 16:49 UTC at 3.10 (+7.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.64 → closing-line value +9.9%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 14, 2026 04:11 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).