NFL · American Football · Aug 13, 2026 21:00 EDT

San Francisco 49ersvsTennessee Titans

49ers-Titans moneyline compressed 8 points toward Tennessee; Rushbet needed 100 minutes to reprice

8pp window, 100 min34%41%47% market median Rushbet (slowest)

Roughly 54 hours before kickoff, at 19:30 UTC, the moneyline for San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans (NFL) repriced across 105+ bookmakers in a single hour. San Francisco 49ers' implied win probability fell from 45% to 36%. Moves of this magnitude and speed are not statistical noise—they represent informed capital entering the market.

Speed varied sharply across the field. Four early responders, including 4cx and 888sport, adjusted their quotes within 32 minutes. The median sportsbook required 32 minutes as well. But Rushbet, among 102 books that eventually moved, was the last to adjust—taking 100 minutes to align with the new consensus.

Rushbet (100 min), 1xBet (100 min), and Betfair Exchange (52 min) lagged furthest behind. Once these windows closed, the data tells the story: bettors with early information had roughly 100 minutes to position on Tennessee Titans at Rushbet's outdated price while the broader market had already shifted 8 points away.

Hours after the initial repricing, three sportsbooks were still quoting the old lines. This delay is the core signal the board detects: once fast money has repositioned the consensus and a book has not yet followed, its stale quote becomes a measurable inefficiency worth flagging.

Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions · CFL · American Football — flagged side BC Lions @ 3.10
92 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+7.0%
Entry edge
+17.6%
Edge near close
2.64
Fair price (no-vig)
3.10
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.16%
Recommended stake
8.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.4%
Shin
+4.5%
Power
+7.0%
Additive
-7.1%
Worst case
+7.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 4.7σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
1xBet3.10+17.6%
Casumo2.65+0.5%
Unibet2.65+0.5%
Proline2.65+0.5%
betparx2.65+0.5%
LeoVegas2.65+0.5%
TABtouch2.65+0.5%
Bally Bet2.65+0.5%
BetNation2.65+0.5%
BetRivers2.65+0.5%
Unibet2.65+0.5%
Unibet2.65+0.5%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
38%
Fair win probability
+8.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+2.9% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 13, 16:49 UTC at 3.10 (+7.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.64 → closing-line value +9.9%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
See the live board — free account

The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).