MLB · Baseball · Aug 18, 2026 16:00 EDT

Kansas City RoyalsvsOakland Athletics

The live market moved 11 points — and TonyBet left a 10-point gap open for 5 minutes

10pp window, 5 min51%59%68% market median TonyBet (slowest)

About 223 minutes into Kansas City Royals vs Oakland Athletics (MLB), the score changed to 0–0. Within 4 minutes, the live market's implied chance of Kansas City Royals moved from 65% to 54% across 146+ bookmakers — and the new level held. That is what real information looks like hitting a market.

The repricing was a race, even mid-match. 1xBet, 888sport adjusted within about 4 minutes; the median of the 100 books that moved took 4 minutes. The slowest to follow: TonyBet (5 min), PointsBet AU (5 min), Betfair Exchange (5 min).

This window has already closed, which is why the numbers can be shown in full: bettors with the right information had about 5 minutes to take Oakland Athletics at TonyBet's stale price, while a 10-point gap sat on the board in plain sight. Windows like this open on live markets every day; the hard part is seeing them while they are still open.

You cannot beat the fast money to the reprice — but you do not have to. The play is knowing which books lag, and our board tracks exactly that gap, pre-match and live.

Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals · MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5 @ 2.15
79 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+4.4%
Entry edge
+0.9%
Edge near close
+0.1%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.13
Fair price (no-vig)
2.25
Entry odds
Quality
80/100
Confidence
9
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Recreational consensus (no sharp anchor) · priced from: Market reference
Sizing
1.55%
Recommended stake
0.8%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
Insights
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Hard-Rock-Bet2.15+0.9%
Espn-Bet2.10-1.4%
Hard Rock2.10-1.4%
1xBet2.08-2.3%
Matchbook2.08-2.3%
Sport8882.05-3.8%
Betparx1.96-7.9%
Bally Bet1.96-7.9%
BetRivers1.96-7.9%
PMU1.83-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Kansas City Royals vs Oakland Athletics is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).