MLB · Baseball · Aug 19, 2026 13:40 EDT · avg book margin 4.9%
Minnesota TwinsvsAtlanta Braves
Twins-Braves Asian handicap shows 3.6% overvalue at FanDuel versus sharp consensus, 7 hours before first pitch
Omenizer detected 4 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair at last refresh — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
99
Omen Score
+1.1%
Edge vs sharp consensus
95
Confidence
4
Sharp sources
Flagged side: Atlanta Braves
@ 2.55 — best price at SportsBetting.ag
At detection — 7 hours before Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves (MLB) — the Asian handicap market has fractured. FanDuel is quoting decimal odds of 2.62 on one side, a price that sits 3.6% above the benchmark sharp sources have converged on. The dislocation is active as of writing; this is market mispricing in real time, not post-game hindsight.
FanDuel's quote lands 2.8 standard deviations away from where the competing cluster of books has settled—a statistical gap that transcends routine daily variance.
The fair-value benchmark rests on consensus from 3 independent sharp sources, so the edge reflects distributed professional analysis rather than one operator's private model.
This signal type has a track record. Across 101 settled bets in baseball Asian handicap at mid-range odds, comparable edges have accumulated +43.5% cumulative ROI when triggered.
Mispricings of this magnitude do not typically persist to first pitch. Historical observation in this market segment suggests comparable edges have compressed toward consensus within roughly 7 hours from detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals
· MLB · Baseball — flagged side Under 8.5
@ 2.15
79Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
Rec-book consensus only — no sharp anchor.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Hard-Rock-Bet
2.15
+0.9%
Espn-Bet
2.10
-1.4%
Hard Rock
2.10
-1.4%
1xBet
2.08
-2.3%
Matchbook
2.08
-2.3%
Sport888
2.05
-3.8%
Betparx
1.96
-7.9%
Bally Bet
1.96
-7.9%
BetRivers
1.96
-7.9%
PMU
1.83
-14.3%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.15 odds → 47% implied win probability
47%
Fair win probability
+4.9% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+8.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 17, 18:51 UTC at 2.25 (+4.4% edge) → fair price at close 2.13 → closing-line value +1.1%
✅ Settled: WON · +1.25 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves
is on the member board now ·
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).