WTA Tour · Tennis · Aug 19, 2026 14:00 UTC

Iga SwiatekvsDiane Parry

Swiatek–Parry totals: 1xBet quotes 6.0% softer than sharp consensus, 26 hours from first serve

Offered at 1xBet2.10Fair price1.98+6.0% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 675 live signals across 279 matches, found the same way.

LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
75
Omen Score
+5.7%
Edge vs sharp consensus
15
Confidence
18
Sharp sources
Flagged side: Under 17.5 @ 2.10 — best price at 1xBet
Fits 1 Playbook pattern — strongest has realized +9.7% on settled bets
This is 1 of the live signals on the board right now · see them all with a free account
A SAMPLE OF BOOKMAKERS ON THIS MATCH · right now — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerSideOddsVs fair
Betfair Exchange (Australia)Diane Parry19.05+19.3%
Betfair ExchangeDiane Parry19.05+19.3%
4CxDiane Parry17.66+10.6%
Limitless ExchangeDiane Parry17.48+9.4%
SX BetDiane Parry17.39+8.9%
Matchbook ExchangeDiane Parry17.17+7.5%
1XBetDiane Parry17.00+6.4%
NovigDiane Parry16.67+4.4%
DraftKingsDiane Parry16.60+3.9%
betwhaleDiane Parry16.00+0.2%
BodogDiane Parry16.00+0.2%
BovadaDiane Parry16.00+0.2%
BetAmapolaDiane Parry16.00+0.2%
bet105Diane Parry15.44-3.3%
OvertimeDiane Parry15.36-3.8%
BraccoDiane Parry15.15-5.1%
FanDuelDiane Parry15.00-6.1%
CampoBetDiane Parry15.00-6.1%
SuperbetDiane Parry15.00-6.1%
Paddy PowerDiane Parry15.00-6.1%

Margins and best-price rates for every book we track

As of 26 hours before Iga Swiatek takes on Diane Parry (WTA Tour), the totals market shows a split between retail and professional pricing. At 1xBet, decimal odds of 2.10 sit 6.0% above the consensus fair value tracked across sharp operators—a measurable mispricing with time still on the clock.

The 1xBet quote registers 2.9 standard deviations from the cluster where the wider market has anchored itself—a gap large enough to signal genuine disagreement rather than ordinary daily drift.

The consensus benchmark draws from 18 independent sharp sources, so the edge does not rest on one operator's pricing alone.

One historically profitable pattern from the Playbook overlaps this setup; that pattern's best instance has returned +9.7% ROI on closed wagers.

Tennis totals at mid-range odds have shown a track record: across 71 settled bets in this segment, comparable signals have produced +0.8% cumulative ROI.

Mispricings at this scale do not hold through service. At detection, comparable edges in this market have typically compressed toward consensus within roughly 76 minutes.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova · WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova @ 3.10
81 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Bwin3.10+7.2%
Sportingbet3.10+7.2%
Sportsinteraction3.10+7.2%
Superbet3.05+5.5%
Sx.Bet3.03+4.8%
Tailgate Exchange3.03+4.8%
Matchbook3.01+4.1%
Betway3.00+3.7%
Casumo3.00+3.7%
Unibet3.00+3.7%
Proline3.00+3.7%
betJACK3.00+3.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Proven Playbook matchesconditions are members-only
early value + short odds 🔒 (Any) — +7.9% settled ROI on 41% winners
consensus fade + late entry 🔒 (Any) — +6.3% settled ROI on 43% winners
steam entry + home side 🔒 (Any) — +4.3% settled ROI on 42% winners
Past performance

Based on 441 bets exactly like this one over the last 60 days

+7.0% 🔒
Closing line value
+7.7% 🔒
Average return
+6.3% 🔒
Beat the closing line
39%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +3.2% to +8.3% 🔒
No reliable edge either way: too close to break-even to call
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Iga Swiatek vs Diane Parry is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).