New York Jets moneyline surged 16 points as Matchbook spent 70 minutes frozen on stale prices
Sharp action hit the Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets moneyline at 14:15 UTC, about 57 hours before kickoff. In a single hour, Pittsburgh Steelers' average win probability across 101+ bookmakers collapsed from 64% to 48%—a 16-point swing that unmasks conviction, not noise.
Repricing speed fragmented across the field. Bally Bet and BetMGM were among the early movers, adjusting within roughly 30 minutes. The 99 books that followed clustered near a 51-minute median, though BetNow—the slowest responder—needed 189 minutes to budge.
Matchbook and BetUS each dragged for 70 minutes before updating; theScore moved faster at 51 minutes. Once those lags closed, the full picture emerged: for 70 minutes, bettors armed with early market intelligence could back New York Jets at Matchbook's pre-move price while a 16-point gap separated that quote from consensus elsewhere.
Hours after the repricing swept the board, 2 sportsbooks were still displaying pre-move odds. This is where the edge sits—in the gulf between the moment smart money repositions and the moment slower books update. A stale price on the screen is exactly the inefficiency flagged in real time on this board.
Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions
· CFL · American Football — flagged side BC Lions
@ 3.10
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.4%
Shin
+4.5%
Power
+7.0%
Additive
-7.1%
Worst case
+7.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 4.7σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
1xBet
3.10
+17.6%
Casumo
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Proline
2.65
+0.5%
betparx
2.65
+0.5%
LeoVegas
2.65
+0.5%
TABtouch
2.65
+0.5%
Bally Bet
2.65
+0.5%
BetNation
2.65
+0.5%
BetRivers
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
38%
Fair win probability
+8.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+2.9% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 13, 16:49 UTC at 3.10 (+7.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.64 → closing-line value +9.9%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).