NFL · American Football · Aug 22, 2026 22:00 EDT

Arizona CardinalsvsDallas Cowboys

Bet105 is paying 3.2% over the sharp consensus in the totals market, 8 hours before kickoff

What happened: Final score: 13–34. This one lost. A real edge is a long-run average, not a per-bet promise — we publish every outcome either way. The closing line moved against the signal (-3.0% CLV) — honest note: on this one, the market did not confirm the edge. For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 8 hours after detection before the edge closed.

How it ended, price by price: Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys — full match recap with closing odds

Offered at bet1052.08Fair price2.02+3.2% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 662 live signals across 274 matches, found the same way.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 7.6 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

8 hours before Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys (NFL), bookmakers disagree about the totals market — and one side of that disagreement is currently priced 3.2% above the sharp consensus at bet105, at decimal odds of 2.08. This is a live edge, not a post-mortem: the window is open as this page is generated.

The spread of prices across books is unusually wide right now — when bookmakers can't agree, someone is wrong, and the sharp consensus says which side.

68 independent sharp sources price this market, so the fair line behind that edge isn't one book's opinion.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions · CFL · American Football — flagged side BC Lions @ 3.10
92 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+7.0%
Entry edge
+17.6%
Edge near close
2.64
Fair price (no-vig)
3.10
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.16%
Recommended stake
8.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.4%
Shin
+4.5%
Power
+7.0%
Additive
-7.1%
Worst case
+7.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 4.7σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
1xBet3.10+17.6%
Casumo2.65+0.5%
Unibet2.65+0.5%
Proline2.65+0.5%
betparx2.65+0.5%
LeoVegas2.65+0.5%
TABtouch2.65+0.5%
Bally Bet2.65+0.5%
BetNation2.65+0.5%
BetRivers2.65+0.5%
Unibet2.65+0.5%
Unibet2.65+0.5%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
38%
Fair win probability
+8.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+2.9% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 13, 16:49 UTC at 3.10 (+7.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.64 → closing-line value +9.9%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Record settled · last updated Aug 23, 2026 05:01 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).