Chicago Bears gained 8 points as the market repriced; betnow held stale odds for 105 minutes
At 00:00 UTC, 119 hours before kickoff, informed money repositioned the Cincinnati Bengals vs Chicago Bears moneyline across 94+ bookmakers: Cincinnati Bengals' implied win probability fell from 55% to 47% within an hour. Moves of that speed and scale carry signal, not noise—they reflect conviction entering the market.
The adjustment fractured across the field. Early responders including 4cx and BetDEX completed reprices in roughly 25 minutes. The median bookmaker trailed at 45 minutes. The slowest of the 94 that moved—1XBet—required 165 minutes to align.
Three shops fell behind most visibly: betnow (105 min), betwhale (65 min), theScore (45 min). Once that window closed, the edge became measurable in full: bettors positioned with market awareness could back Chicago Bears at betnow's frozen price for approximately 105 minutes while an 8-point gap remained on the board.
Still quoting pre-move prices hours later was 1 sportsbook. This is where inefficiency surfaces: the interval between fast money's repositioning and a slower outlet's update. A stale quote visible on the board before settlement is exactly the kind of lag detected in real time.
Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions
· CFL · American Football — flagged side BC Lions
@ 3.10
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.4%
Shin
+4.5%
Power
+7.0%
Additive
-7.1%
Worst case
+7.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 4.7σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
1xBet
3.10
+17.6%
Casumo
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Proline
2.65
+0.5%
betparx
2.65
+0.5%
LeoVegas
2.65
+0.5%
TABtouch
2.65
+0.5%
Bally Bet
2.65
+0.5%
BetNation
2.65
+0.5%
BetRivers
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
38%
Fair win probability
+8.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+2.9% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 13, 16:49 UTC at 3.10 (+7.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.64 → closing-line value +9.9%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Cincinnati Bengals vs Chicago Bears
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).