TheScore's 66-minute lag on a 6-point moneyline move gave informed bettors roughly 13% in edge
Sharp money reshaped the Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders moneyline at 21:00 UTC, about 115 hours before the NFL game kicked off. The Lions' implied win probability jumped from 63% to 69% in under an hour across 93+ bookmakers—a move of this velocity signals conviction, not market noise.
Early responders like SX.bet and BC.Game updated their prices within 5 minutes. Most books caught up near the 66-minute mark. But BetNow stayed stubbornly outdated, holding old prices for 165 minutes after the shift began.
Three shops lagged longest: theScore, partypoker, and ibet each took 66 minutes to adjust. During that window, bettors with knowledge of the market move could grab Detroit Lions at theScore's stale odds—about 13% better value than the new consensus, with a 6-point gap still visible on the board.
Hours into the aftermath, 3 bookmakers remained quoting pre-move odds. That delay is where edges hide: when fast money has already repositioned and one book hasn't updated yet, its frozen price becomes a flagged inefficiency worth tracking in real time.
Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions
· CFL · American Football — flagged side BC Lions
@ 3.10
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.4%
Shin
+4.5%
Power
+7.0%
Additive
-7.1%
Worst case
+7.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 4.7σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
1xBet
3.10
+17.6%
Casumo
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Proline
2.65
+0.5%
betparx
2.65
+0.5%
LeoVegas
2.65
+0.5%
TABtouch
2.65
+0.5%
Bally Bet
2.65
+0.5%
BetNation
2.65
+0.5%
BetRivers
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
38%
Fair win probability
+8.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+2.9% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 13, 16:49 UTC at 3.10 (+7.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.64 → closing-line value +9.9%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).