WTA Tour · Tennis · Sep 14, 2026 11:00 UTC · avg book margin 7.5%
Reese BrantmeiervsKylie Collins
Boomers pricing moneyline 12.0% softer than sharp operators, 6 hours before first serve
Omenizer detected 67 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair at last refresh — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
89
Omen Score
+11.7%
Edge vs sharp consensus
94
Confidence
3
Sharp sources
Flagged side: Kylie Collins
@ 3.70 — best price at boomers
At detection—6 hours before Reese Brantmeier faces Kylie Collins on the WTA Tour—one bookmaker has separated from the field in the moneyline market. boomers is quoting decimal 3.70 on one side, a level sitting 12.0% below where independent sharp operators have anchored their consensus fair value. The mispricing is active market data captured before the match begins, not post-event analysis.
The boomers quote sits 2.5 standard deviations away from the consensus cluster—a statistical distance that flags genuine structural mispricing rather than ordinary market noise.
That consensus rests on 3 independent sharp market participants, distributing the benchmark across multiple professional models rather than anchoring to any single operator's view.
This signal aligns with 4 patterns from our historical Playbook—the strongest among them has delivered +10.0% on settled bets in comparable situations.
The track record for this exact segment—tennis moneyline priced in the mid-odds range—shows +6.5% ROI across 4003 settled outcomes on our board.
Edges in this category do not typically persist until serve time. Comparable mispricings have historically compressed to fair value in roughly 7 hours from detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Reese Brantmeier vs Kylie Collins
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).