14% soft edge on Bengals held for 15 minutes as Duel lagged 13 points behind repriced consensus
At the 55-minute mark of Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions (NFL), the market shifted on new information alone—no scoreboard event sparked it. Across 111+ bookmakers, Cincinnati Bengals' win probability surged from 71% to 85% over the next 10 minutes and held steady there. That momentum is what information entering a live market actually looks like.
The repricing spread unevenly across the field. PointsBet AU and 1xBet closed the gap in roughly 1 minute each. Among the 88 books that moved, the median adjustment took 3 minutes. The operators furthest behind: Duel and Matchbook both at 15 minutes; betwhale at 8 minutes.
That window is sealed now, so the full record is visible. For roughly 15 minutes as of detection, bettors could have wagered on Cincinnati Bengals at Duel's stale quote—about 14% softer than the repriced consensus—while a 10-point gap sat plainly on the board. These dislocations surface in live markets all the time; the hard part is seeing them before they vanish.
You cannot beat the fastest operators to their repricing. What actually works is knowing which books consistently lag, then observing that drift happen in real time. Our board tracks operator-level gaps across pre-match and live slates.
Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions
· CFL · American Football — flagged side BC Lions
@ 3.10
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.4%
Shin
+4.5%
Power
+7.0%
Additive
-7.1%
Worst case
+7.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 4.7σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
1xBet
3.10
+17.6%
Casumo
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Proline
2.65
+0.5%
Betparx
2.65
+0.5%
LeoVegas
2.65
+0.5%
TABtouch
2.65
+0.5%
Bally Bet
2.65
+0.5%
BetNation
2.65
+0.5%
BetRivers
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
38%
Fair win probability
+8.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+2.9% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Past performance
Based on 8,054 similar market conditions over the last 90 days
+2.4% 🔒
Closing line value
+7.1% 🔒
Average return
+8.1% 🔒
Beat the closing line
35%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +8.1% to +4.7% 🔒
Statistically reliable loser: even the best case still loses
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 13, 16:49 UTC at 3.10 (+7.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.64 → closing-line value +9.9%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).