NFL · American Football · Aug 14, 2026 19:00 EDT

New York JetsvsTampa Bay Buccaneers

The live market moved 29 points — and Duel left a 22-point gap open for 12 minutes

22pp window, 12 min2%28%55% market median Duel (slowest)

About 157 minutes into New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL), no single scoreboard moment — the market moved on its own information. Within 9 minutes, the live market's implied chance of New York Jets moved from 43% to 15% across 111+ bookmakers — and the new level held. That is what real information looks like hitting a market.

The repricing was a race, even mid-match. 1xBet, 888sport adjusted within about 4 minutes; the median of the 89 books that moved took 5 minutes. The slowest to follow: Duel (12 min), betwhale (12 min), SX.bet (12 min).

This window has already closed, which is why the numbers can be shown in full: bettors with the right information had about 12 minutes to take Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Duel's stale price, while a 22-point gap sat on the board in plain sight. Windows like this open on live markets every day; the hard part is seeing them while they are still open.

You cannot beat the fast money to the reprice — but you do not have to. The play is knowing which books lag, and our board tracks exactly that gap, pre-match and live.

Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions · CFL · American Football — flagged side BC Lions @ 3.10
92 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+7.0%
Entry edge
+17.6%
Edge near close
2.64
Fair price (no-vig)
3.10
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.16%
Recommended stake
8.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.4%
Shin
+4.5%
Power
+7.0%
Additive
-7.1%
Worst case
+7.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 4.7σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
1xBet3.10+17.6%
Casumo2.65+0.5%
Unibet2.65+0.5%
Proline2.65+0.5%
Betparx2.65+0.5%
LeoVegas2.65+0.5%
TABtouch2.65+0.5%
Bally Bet2.65+0.5%
BetNation2.65+0.5%
BetRivers2.65+0.5%
Unibet2.65+0.5%
Unibet2.65+0.5%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
38%
Fair win probability
+8.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+2.9% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Past performance

Based on 8,054 similar market conditions over the last 90 days

+2.4% 🔒
Closing line value
+7.1% 🔒
Average return
+8.1% 🔒
Beat the closing line
35%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +8.1% to +4.7% 🔒
Statistically reliable loser: even the best case still loses
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 13, 16:49 UTC at 3.10 (+7.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.64 → closing-line value +9.9%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).