Raiders–Cardinals at 71 minutes: 18-point repricing across 110+ books, bet105 left a gap open for 19 minutes
Las Vegas Raiders and Arizona Cardinals reached 14–14 at the 71-minute mark of their NFL matchup. In the following 10 minutes, Las Vegas Raiders' implied win probability collapsed from 48% to 30% across more than 110 bookmakers—a shift that then solidified. That repricing signals real information entering the market.
The adjustment was uneven across operators. betnow and Rushbet updated their numbers in roughly 1 minute; across the 87 books that moved at all, the median lag was 5 minutes. The laggards were bet105 (19 min), betwhale (14 min), and rivalry (14 min).
As of detection, that window has sealed—which is why the full story can now be told. For 19 minutes, bettors who caught the shift early could have backed Arizona Cardinals at bet105's outdated price, with an 18-point gap sitting openly on the board. These dislocations surface on live markets with regularity; the trick is intercepting them before they compress.
Outrunning the sharpest repricing is a fool's errand. The real advantage emerges from mapping which operators structurally lag—and then watching their gaps narrow in real time. Our board documents those operator-level delays across both live and pre-match markets.
Historical, aggregate market data — not betting advice and not a guarantee. In-play prices move violently; markets adapt; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Calgary Stampeders vs BC Lions
· CFL · American Football — flagged side BC Lions
@ 3.10
92Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+5.4%
Shin
+4.5%
Power
+7.0%
Additive
-7.1%
Worst case
+7.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 4.7σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
1xBet
3.10
+17.6%
Casumo
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Proline
2.65
+0.5%
Betparx
2.65
+0.5%
LeoVegas
2.65
+0.5%
TABtouch
2.65
+0.5%
Bally Bet
2.65
+0.5%
BetNation
2.65
+0.5%
BetRivers
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Unibet
2.65
+0.5%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
38%
Fair win probability
+8.5% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+2.9% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
Past performance
Based on 8,054 similar market conditions over the last 90 days
+2.4% 🔒
Closing line value
+7.1% 🔒
Average return
+8.1% 🔒
Beat the closing line
35%
Win rate
Likely ROI range: +8.1% to +4.7% 🔒
Statistically reliable loser: even the best case still loses
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Aug 13, 16:49 UTC at 3.10 (+7.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.64 → closing-line value +9.9%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.10 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).