ITF Men · Tennis · Aug 19, 2026 12:00 UTC · avg book margin 7.9%

Benito Sanchez MartinezvsAlan Wazny

Sanchez Martinez over Wazny at 2.38: 15.6% mispricing at Ladbrokes UK cashed 0–2, closing line validated the signal

How it ended, price by price: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Alan Wazny — full match recap with closing odds

Offered at Ladbrokes UK2.38Fair price2.06+15.6% above fair

This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 727 live signals across 303 matches, found the same way.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

The Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Alan Wazny moneyline (ITF Men) displayed a pricing gap at Ladbrokes UK in the hours before start: decimal 2.38 sat 15.6% above the sharp consensus. Our algorithm surfaced this inefficiency before kickoff, creating a brief window for execution at that level.

Match result: 0–2 for the flagged side. A flat 1-unit stake on that price returned +1.38 units.

The signal's validity rests on closing-line value: from detection to start, the market repriced +0.7% in the direction of the flagged outcome. CLV is how professionals evaluate bets across time, because individual matches are binary noise but systematic repricing is the signal.

Tennis moneyline detections in this odds band have accumulated +6.0% ROI across 3205 settled signals tracked on the board.

The algorithm that generated this detection runs before kickoff each day and surfaces mispricings while execution windows remain open. The live board displays flagged edges during the window, not in retrospect after settlement.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova · WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova @ 3.10
81 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+12.0%
Entry edge
+7.2%
Edge near close
+0.8%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.89
Fair price (no-vig)
3.65
Entry odds
Quality
95/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
4.5%
Recommended stake
3.4%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
bwin3.10+7.2%
sportingbet3.10+7.2%
sportsinteraction3.10+7.2%
Superbet3.05+5.5%
SX.bet3.03+4.8%
Tailgate Exchange3.03+4.8%
Matchbook3.01+4.1%
Betway3.00+3.7%
Casumo3.00+3.7%
Unibet3.00+3.7%
Proline3.00+3.7%
betJACK3.00+3.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Alan Wazny is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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Record settled · last updated Aug 20, 2026 10:31 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).