Anisimova–Pegula totals market: 1xBet pricing 5.7% above sharp consensus at 2.00, 14 hours before serve
What happened: Final score: 16–15. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.00 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +3.4% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 5 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 733 live signals across 303 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 14.5 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
With 14 hours until Amanda Anisimova and Jessica Pegula take the court on the WTA Tour, the totals market reveals a fracture: 1xBet's decimal odds of 2.00 on one side price the outcome at 5.7% above where independent sharp sources have anchored consensus. This edge exists at detection—the moment before first serve, when prices still matter.
When sportsbooks quote different prices on the same contract, disagreement exposes opportunity. The sharp consensus identifies which side trades at a disadvantage.
The fair value backing this edge draws from 15 independent sharp sources, not a single operator's model.
This setup matches 3 profitable patterns in the historical archive. The strongest has logged +27.9% ROI across all closed bets meeting its conditions.
Tennis totals at these odds have tracked reliably: across 89 settled bets in this exact segment, comparable signals have returned +1.3% cumulative ROI.
Mispricings of this width do not linger through serve. In this market, comparable edges have historically compressed toward consensus in approximately 74 minutes from detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
· WTA Tour · Tennis — flagged side Kristina Liutova
@ 3.10
81Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+9.7%
Shin
+8.4%
Power
+12.0%
Additive
-5.4%
Worst case
+12.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
bwin
3.10
+7.2%
sportingbet
3.10
+7.2%
sportsinteraction
3.10
+7.2%
Superbet
3.05
+5.5%
SX.bet
3.03
+4.8%
Tailgate Exchange
3.03
+4.8%
Matchbook
3.01
+4.1%
Betway
3.00
+3.7%
Casumo
3.00
+3.7%
Unibet
3.00
+3.7%
Proline
3.00
+3.7%
betJACK
3.00
+3.7%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
3.10 odds → 32% implied win probability
35%
Fair win probability
+4.1% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+7.4% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Jul 27, 12:51 UTC at 3.65 (+12.0% edge) → fair price at close 3.18 → closing-line value +2.4%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.65 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegula
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Aug 20, 2026 20:41 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).