You–Bosio (WTA): favbet totals quote 9.1% high of sharp consensus at 2.27, 5 hours to serve
What happened: Final score: 13–8. The edge paid: the flagged side won, returning +1.27 units on a flat 1-unit stake. The market agreed with the signal: the price closed +1.0% better than where the edge was flagged (positive closing-line value — the strongest sign the edge was real). For the record: the flagged price stayed live for about 4 hours after detection before the edge closed.
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 686 live signals across 275 matches, found the same way.
The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written 5.1 hours before start and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.
At detection—5 hours before Xiaodi You faces Victoria Bosio on the WTA Tour—favbet's totals pricing has drifted away from where sharp operators have clustered their fair value. The favbet quote at decimal 2.27 sits 9.1% above the consensus benchmark. This is active pricing data captured before the match begins.
When bookmakers scatter across a single market, that scatter reveals which side carries mispricing. The sharp consensus method identifies the outlier.
Consensus estimates here draw from 30 independent sharp sources, so the fair line reflects distributed professional judgment rather than any single operator's model.
The signal aligns with 5 historically profitable patterns tracked in our Playbook—the most powerful has returned +21.6% on settled bets.
Mispricings at this magnitude typically compress before first serve. In this market segment, comparable edges have historically held for roughly 2 hours from detection before closing.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Xiaodi You vs Victoria Bosio
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Record settled · last updated Sep 13, 2026 20:36 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).