WTA Tour · Tennis · Sep 14, 2026 23:00 UTC · avg book margin 5.2%
Zeynep SonmezvsIryna Shymanovich
Sonmez–Shymanovich moneyline: FanDuel overpricing at 3.60, +11.1% above sharp operators with 14 hours to serve
Omenizer detected 105 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair at last refresh — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
89
Omen Score
+11.1%
Edge vs sharp consensus
94
Confidence
3
Sharp sources
Flagged side: Iryna Shymanovich
@ 3.60 — best price at Hard Rock (Florida)
At detection, 14 hours before Zeynep Sonmez and Iryna Shymanovich meet on the WTA Tour, the moneyline has fractured across sportsbooks. FanDuel is quoting decimal 3.60 on one outcome—a price that sits 11.1% above where independent sharp operators have clustered their consensus. This edge is market-fresh, captured before the players step on court.
The consensus fair value is anchored across 3 independent sharp sources, not derived from any single bookmaker's model.
This setup matches 1 pattern in our Playbook history. The strongest comparable pattern has delivered +9.1% return on settled bets.
Tennis moneyline signals in the mid-odds range—the exact segment this falls into—have tracked +6.5% ROI across 4003 settled outcomes recorded on our ledger.
Mispricings at this scale don't linger. Comparable edges in this market segment have historically closed within about 7 hours of detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Zeynep Sonmez vs Iryna Shymanovich
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).