WTA Tour · Tennis · Sep 17, 2026 13:30 UTC · avg book margin 7.0%

Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De RealesvsMarina Bassols Ribera

16.9% mispricing at bet105 repriced +82.3% toward the flag before serve

How it ended, price by price: Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales vs Marina Bassols Ribera — full match recap with closing odds

Offered at bet1055.07Fair price4.34+16.9% above fair

Omenizer detected 3 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair near close — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.

The setup — the analysis as published at detection, written before the game and frozen for the record. The market it describes has since closed; the outcome is above.

Hours before Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales and Marina Bassols Ribera competed on the WTA Tour, the detection system surfaced a moneyline mismatch: bet105 quoted decimal odds of 5.07, a price sitting 16.9% above the sharp consensus. The window for trading that edge remained open while traders acted on the signal.

Match outcome: 2–1. The flagged side did not convert. Single matches are inherently uncertain; this record publishes them unfiltered regardless of result.

The measurable validation is closing-line value: between detection and the opening serve, the market repriced +82.3% in the direction of the flag. This systematic drift toward your side is what professionals use to evaluate trade quality—results are noisy, but quoted prices track market behavior.

This analysis was built at detection, before the first point, using the same engine that surfaces pricing anomalies across markets daily. The live board displays these windows while execution remains possible.

Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.

AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW · what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different, already-settled match PRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 2.69
90 Omen Score

This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal. The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed, so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked 🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).

Why this bet
+6.0%
Entry edge
+5.1%
Edge near close
+0.5%
Risk-adjusted edge
2.56
Fair price (no-vig)
3.00
Entry odds
Quality
94/100
Confidence
3
Sharp books
Prime signal
Class
Market state: Strong sharp consensus (3+ books) · priced from: Sharp price
Sizing
0.97%
Recommended stake
3.0%
Full Kelly (theoretical max)
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
BookmakerOddsVs fair
Betano2.69+5.1%
bet1052.66+3.9%
SX.bet2.63+2.7%
Matchbook2.63+2.7%
Prophet X2.63+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange2.63+2.7%
STN Sports2.62+2.3%
Betfair Exchange2.62+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62+2.3%
4cx2.61+1.9%
Novig2.60+1.6%
Winpot2.60+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim (read this signal's full story). The live breakdown for Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales vs Marina Bassols Ribera is on the member board now · unlock with Pro
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The strategies behind signals like this · More stories

Record settled · last updated Sep 17, 2026 18:05 UTC · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).