Blinkova–Charaeva moneyline: Sportzino off by 5.6% at 2.50 decimal, 12 hours from serve
This story covers a single signal — right now the member board has 658 live signals across 331 matches, found the same way.
At detection—12 hours before Anna Blinkova meets Alina Charaeva on the WTA Tour—one bookmaker has drifted away from consensus in the moneyline market. Sportzino is quoting decimal 2.50 on one outcome, pricing it 5.6% above the fair value that independent sharp operators have converged on. The edge is still available at writing.
The Sportzino quote sits 2.0 standard deviations from the professional consensus cluster—a distance that flags structural mispricing rather than ordinary scatter.
That consensus derives from 3 independent sharp sources, anchoring fair value across distributed professional models rather than isolating it to any single book's assessment.
The signal matches 1 historically profitable pattern in our database—the strongest comparable entry has returned +9.0% on settled wagers.
Tennis moneyline edges in this odds band have posted +6.1% ROI across 4239 settled bets in our tracking. Comparable mispricings have tended to compress before the opening serve.
Gaps at this scale do not typically hold through to first serve. Historical data suggests comparable moneyline edges in tennis have moved toward fair value within roughly 7 hours of detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Anna Blinkova vs Alina Charaeva
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).