Vandromme–Jorge totals market: Unibet UK soft by 6.7% to sharp consensus at 3.05, 11 hours before serve
Omenizer detected 5 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair at last refresh — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
LIVE SIGNAL · exactly as it appears on the member board
95
Omen Score
+7.3%
Edge vs sharp consensus
35
Confidence
23
Sharp sources
Flagged side: Over 2.5
@ 3.05 — best price at Unibet UK
As of writing—11 hours before Jeline Vandromme faces Francisca Jorge on the WTA Tour—the totals market exposes a measurable gap between Unibet UK and the professional consensus. One side is quoted at decimal odds of 3.05, a price sitting 6.7% below where independent sharp sources have pegged fair value. The divergence is live: the market window remains open at detection.
This outlier trades 2.3 standard deviations from the consensus cluster—a statistical distance that signals actual mispricing, not routine market scatter.
The consensus rests on 20 independent sharp operators, so the benchmark price reflects distributed professional opinion rather than a single voice.
Edges of this size do not typically persist through the final hours before serve. Historical tracking shows comparable totals mispricings in tennis have compressed toward fair value within roughly 3 hours of detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Jeline Vandromme vs Francisca Jorge
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).