Trevisan–Burel totals at Unibet UK: 6.8% overpriced versus sharp consensus 6 hours at detection
Omenizer detected 2 bookmakers pricing this bet above the no-vig fair at last refresh — this story covers one of them. Members see the full board, live.
At detection—6 hours before Martina Trevisan takes on Clara Burel on the WTA Tour—bookmakers have diverged sharply on the totals market. Unibet UK is quoting decimal odds of 2.80 on one side, a price sitting 6.8% above where independent sharp operators have settled. This is active market data captured before first serve, not retrospective analysis.
That Unibet UK quote lands 3.9 standard deviations from the professional consensus cluster—a statistical distance that marks structural mispricing rather than everyday market scatter.
The consensus baseline reflects input from 34 independent sharp sources, anchoring the fair line across distributed professional models rather than resting on any single bookmaker's assessment.
The signal matches 1 historically profitable pattern in our database—the strongest comparable pattern has delivered +8.9% return on settled wagers.
Mispricings at this magnitude do not typically persist to first serve. In comparable totals markets, historical edges have compressed toward consensus within roughly 2 hours of detection.
Historical, aggregate data on settled bets — not betting advice and not a guarantee. Markets adapt; edges fade; variance is real.
AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEMBER VIEW
· what members see on a bet like this — shown for a different,
already-settled matchPRO
Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
· ATP World Tour · Tennis — flagged side Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 2.69
90Omen Score
This is the complete breakdown members get for every live signal.
The example below is a DIFFERENT match, already settled — its market is closed,
so full disclosure costs nothing. Everything is real except values marked
🔒, which are members-only (decoy digits shown).
EV by devig methodthe same price run through every de-margining method
+4.7%
Shin
+4.1%
Power
+6.0%
Additive
+4.7%
Balanced
-5.4%
Worst case
+6.0%
Multiplicative
Insights
Price is 3.3σ from market consensus.High confidence + meaningful price gap — best risk-adjusted segment.
A sample of bookmakers on this betnear close — every price against the same no-vig fair
Bookmaker
Odds
Vs fair
Betano
2.69
+5.1%
bet105
2.66
+3.9%
SX.bet
2.63
+2.7%
Matchbook
2.63
+2.7%
Prophet X
2.63
+2.7%
Tailgate Exchange
2.63
+2.7%
STN Sports
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange
2.62
+2.3%
Betfair Exchange (AU)
2.62
+2.3%
4cx
2.61
+1.9%
Novig
2.60
+1.6%
Winpot
2.60
+1.6%
Risk & profitability profile
Heavy favoriteFavoriteCoin flipUnderdogLongshot
2.69 odds → 37% implied win probability
39%
Fair win probability
+6.2% 🔒
Expected ROI (model)
+3.0% 🔒
Cohort realized ROI
The endingthe part only a settled signal can show
Detected Sep 03, 13:10 UTC at 3.00 (+6.0% edge) → fair price at close 2.63 → closing-line value +7.5%
✅ Settled: WON · +2.00 units
A real, settled example — not a typical-results claim
(read this signal's full story).
The live breakdown for Martina Trevisan vs Clara Burel
is on the member board now ·
unlock with Pro
Live market record · data refreshes with this page · How these numbers are made: methodology · the dataset — fair prices shown are margin-free. Spotted an error? Request a correction (include this page's URL).